20200420 - 买油桶送石油,WTI五月原油期货跌至负39.69美金/桶

关键词

史上首次降为负值！美国5月WTI原油期货收盘暴跌300%

油价负数意味着将油运送到炼油厂或存储的成本已经超过了石油本身的价值
市场人士认为，油价此番反常下跌与WTI原油5月合约交割日的临近有关。根据芝商所消息，5月合约将在当地时间4月21日(北京时间22日凌晨02：30)进行交割。多数经纪商会在4月16日-20日展期。为了避免被强制平仓，部分交易者往往会提前平掉5月份的合约，重新建仓下6月的合约，造成5月份合约出现许多卖盘，价格大跌。一般而言，相邻月份的油价差价不会过大，但WTI5月原油期货和6月原油期货的差价截至发稿已经超过每桶60美元。

另据央视财经报道，不排除市场上部分原油买家故意压低5月原油期货价格，逢低购买原油的行为。

此外，有限的原油库容也是影响油价一个重要因素。AxiCorp全球首席市场策略师Stephen Innes在当地时间周日的一份研究报告中写道：“纽约商品交易所即将到期的2020年5月WTI近月合约，让价格变得比以往更加复杂。”这名策略师还指出，由于存储费用大幅溢价，近期原油价格大幅折价交易，这些即将到期的合约所处的环境十分不妙。

据悉，美国原油存储空间已经告急。美国能源信息署(EIA)周中公布的数据显示，截至4月10日当周，美国原油库存(不包括战略石油储备)较此前一周增加1924.8万桶，美国原油库存变化值连续12周录得增长，涨幅续刷纪录新高。俄克拉荷马州库欣原油库存增加572.4万桶，前值增加641.7万桶；库欣原油库存变化值连续6周录得增长。

标普全球普氏能源资讯分析师Chris Midgley也指出，库欣是内陆城市，原油库容很可能在3周内填满，一旦填满，WTI原油期货合约进行实物交割将更加困难。交易员被迫平掉多头头寸，以免在没有库容的情况下购入实物原油。

知乎讨论: 如何评价WTI五月原油期货跌至负39.69美金/桶，负油价意味着什么?
知乎讨论: 如何看待WTI 5月原油期货结算价报-37.63美元/桶，历史上首次收于负值?

附图

20200420 买油桶送石油,WTI五月原油期货跌至负39.69美金/桶

20200420 丹佛医疗工作者站在反对防疫隔离的示威者面前

今日世界疫情记录 - 法国新增死亡 547 人

Country, Other	Total Cases	New Cases	Total Deaths	New Deaths	Total Recovered	Active Cases	Serious, Critical	Tot Cases/ 1M pop	Deaths/ 1M pop	Total Tests	Tests/ 1M pop	Continent
World	2,470,893	+64,318	169,943	+4,912	644,589	1,656,361	56,444	317	21.8			All
Europe	1,112,592	+23,336	104,335	+2,499	321,520	686,737	26,126					Europe
North America	844,849	+24,766	44,957	+1,620	88,094	711,798	14,720					North America
USA	786,413	+21,777	42,048	+1,473	71,770	672,595	13,634	2,376	127	3,986,957	12,045	North America
Asia	394,771	+11,614	15,072	+286	185,776	193,923	6,310					Asia
Spain	200,210	+1,536	20,852	+399	80,587	98,771	7,371	4,282	446	930,230	19,896	Europe
Italy	181,228	+2,256	24,114	+454	48,877	108,237	2,573	2,997	399	1,398,024	23,122	Europe
France	155,383	+2,489	20,265	+547	37,409	97,709	5,683	2,380	310	463,662	7,103	Europe
Germany	146,653	+911	4,706	+64	91,500	50,447	2,889	1,750	56	1,728,357	20,629	Europe
UK	124,743	+4,676	16,509	+449	N/A	107,890	1,559	1,838	243	501,379	7,386	Europe
Turkey	90,980	+4,674	2,140	+123	13,430	75,410	1,909	1,079	25	673,980	7,991	Asia
South America	86,013	+3,761	4,320	+471	36,951	44,742	9,053					South America
Iran	83,505	+1,294	5,209	+91	59,273	19,023	3,389	994	62	353,012	4,203	Asia
China	82,747	+12	4,632		77,084	1,031	81	57	3			Asia
Russia	47,121	+4,268	405	+44	3,446	43,270	700	323	3	2,053,319	14,070	Europe
Brazil	40,581	+1,927	2,845	+383	22,130	15,606	7,919	191	13	62,985	296	South America
Belgium	39,983	+1,487	5,828	+145	8,895	25,260	1,071	3,450	503	161,896	13,969	Europe
Canada	36,670	+1,614	1,680	+93	12,197	22,793	557	972	45	549,349	14,555	North America
Netherlands	33,405	+750	3,751	+67	250	29,404	1,158	1,950	219	171,415	10,004	Europe
Switzerland	27,944	+204	1,429	+36	18,600	7,915	386	3,229	165	224,442	25,933	Europe
Africa	23,790	+824	1,161	+36	6,352	16,277	175					Africa
Portugal	20,863	+657	735	+21	610	19,518	215	2,046	72	235,878	23,133	Europe
India	17,655	+40	559		2,854	14,242		13	0.4	401,586	291	Asia
Peru	16,325	+697	445	+45	6,968	8,912	385	495	13	148,011	4,489	South America
Ireland	15,652	+401	687	+77	77	14,888	294	3,170	139	90,646	18,358	Europe
Austria	14,795	+46	470	+18	10,631	3,694	194	1,643	52	182,949	20,313	Europe
Sweden	14,777	+392	1,580	+40	550	12,647	521	1,463	156	74,600	7,387	Europe
Israel	13,713	+222	177	+5	4,049	9,487	149	1,584	20	240,303	27,763	Asia
Japan	10,797		236		1,159	9,402	217	85	2	112,816	892	Asia
S. Korea	10,674	+13	236	+2	8,114	2,324	55	208	5	563,035	10,982	Asia
Chile	10,507	+419	139	+6	4,676	5,692	377	550	7	118,827	6,216	South America
Saudi Arabia	10,484	+1,122	103	+6	1,490	8,891	88	301	3	180,000	5,170	Asia
Ecuador	10,128	+660	507	+33	1,150	8,471	124	574	29	32,453	1,839	South America
Poland	9,593	+306	380	+20	1,133	8,080	160	253	10	214,236	5,661	Europe
Romania	8,936	+190	478	+27	2,017	6,441	261	465	25	98,491	5,120	Europe
Pakistan	8,418	+70	176	+8	1,970	6,272	46	38	0.8	104,302	472	Asia
Mexico	8,261	+764	686	+36	2,627	4,948	207	64	5	49,570	384	North America
Oceania	8,157	+17	83		5,252	2,822	53					Australia/Oceania
Singapore	8,014	+1,426	11		801	7,202	23	1,370	2	94,796	16,203	Asia
Denmark	7,515	+131	364	+9	4,312	2,839	84	1,297	63	96,244	16,616	Europe
UAE	7,265	+484	43	+2	1,360	5,862	1	735	4	767,000	77,550	Asia
Norway	7,127	+49	181	+16	32	6,914	58	1,315	33	143,255	26,425	Europe
Czechia	6,838	+92	194	+8	1,559	5,085	84	639	18	172,123	16,073	Europe
Indonesia	6,760	+185	590	+8	747	5,423		25	2	43,749	160	Asia
Serbia	6,630	+312	125	+3	870	5,635	108	759	14	41,812	4,785	Europe
Australia	6,619	+7	71		4,258	2,290	49	260	3	431,734	16,931	Australia/Oceania
Philippines	6,459	+200	428	+19	613	5,418	1	59	4	59,928	547	Asia
Belarus	6,264	+1,485	51	+4	514	5,699	92	663	5	102,556	10,853	Europe
Qatar	6,015	+567	9	+1	555	5,451	37	2,088	3	64,620	22,429	Asia
Ukraine	5,710	+261	151	+10	359	5,200	45	131	3	58,093	1,328	Europe
Malaysia	5,425	+36	89		3,295	2,041	45	168	3	108,216	3,344	Asia
Dominican Republic	4,964	+284	235	+9	416	4,313	128	458	22	57,809	5,329	North America
Panama	4,467	+194	126	+6	165	4,176	98	1,035	29	19,091	4,425	North America
Finland	3,868	+85	98	+4	2,000	1,770	67	698	18	59,200	10,685	Europe
Colombia	3,792		179		711	2,902	98	75	4	62,746	1,233	South America
Luxembourg	3,558	+8	75	+2	637	2,846	32	5,684	120	33,798	53,992	Europe
Egypt	3,333	+189	250	+11	821	2,262		33	2	55,000	537	Africa
South Africa	3,300	+142	58	+4	1,055	2,187	36	56	1.0	121,510	2,049	Africa
Morocco	3,046	+191	143	+2	350	2,553	1	83	4	16,386	444	Africa
Bangladesh	2,948	+492	101	+10	85	2,762	1	18	0.6	26,604	162	Asia
Argentina	2,941		136	+2	737	2,068	123	65	3	34,568	765	South America
Thailand	2,792	+27	47		1,999	746	61	40	0.7	142,589	2,043	Asia
Algeria	2,718	+89	384	+9	1,099	1,235	40	62	9	6,500	148	Africa
Moldova	2,548	+76	70	+3	457	2,021	212	632	17	11,763	2,916	Europe
Greece	2,245	+10	116	+3	269	1,860	61	215	11	54,344	5,214	Europe
Kuwait	1,995	+80	9	+2	367	1,619	39	467	2			Asia
Hungary	1,984	+68	199	+10	267	1,518	60	205	21	48,057	4,975	Europe
Bahrain	1,907	+26	7		769	1,131	2	1,121	4	89,225	52,437	Asia
Croatia	1,881	+10	47		771	1,063	18	458	11	26,610	6,482	Europe
Kazakhstan	1,852	+176	19	+2	447	1,386	22	99	1	117,949	6,282	Asia
Iceland	1,773	+2	10	+1	1,362	401	4	5,196	29	43,143	126,429	Europe
Uzbekistan	1,627	+62	5		261	1,361	8	49	0.1	136,000	4,063	Asia
Iraq	1,574	+35	82		1,043	449		39	2	59,055	1,468	Asia
Estonia	1,535	+7	40		165	1,330	9	1,157	30	40,930	30,855	Europe
New Zealand	1,440	+9	12		974	454	2	299	2	86,305	17,897	Australia/Oceania
Azerbaijan	1,436	+38	19		791	626	16	142	2	95,747	9,443	Asia
Oman	1,410	+144	7		238	1,165	3	276	1			Asia
Armenia	1,339	+48	22	+2	580	737	30	452	7	13,373	4,513	Asia
Slovenia	1,335	+5	77	+3	193	1,065	26	642	37	41,802	20,107	Europe
Lithuania	1,326	+28	37	+2	242	1,047	17	487	14	66,352	24,374	Europe
Bosnia and Herzegovina	1,309	+24	49	+1	381	879	4	399	15	18,538	5,650	Europe
North Macedonia	1,225	+18	54	+3	200	971	9	588	26	11,870	5,697	Europe
Slovakia	1,173	+12	13	+1	251	909	8	215	2	46,734	8,560	Europe
Cuba	1,087	+52	36	+2	285	766	9	96	3	28,598	2,525	North America
Ghana	1,042		9		99	934	4	34	0.3	68,591	2,207	Africa
Afghanistan	1,026	+30	36	+3	135	855	7	26	0.9	6,422	165	Asia
Hong Kong	1,026		4		630	392	8	137	0.5	131,786	17,579	Asia
Cameroon	1,017		42		305	670	33	38	2			Africa
Bulgaria	929	+35	43	+1	167	719	34	134	6	26,417	3,802	Europe
Tunisia	884	+5	38		148	698	34	75	3	17,287	1,463	Africa
Ivory Coast	847		9		260	578		32	0.3			Africa
Djibouti	846		2		102	742		856	2	8,144	8,243	Africa
Cyprus	772	+5	12		81	679	15	639	10	34,087	28,233	Asia
Latvia	739	+12	5		88	646	5	392	3	36,668	19,440	Europe
	721		15		644	62	7
Andorra	717	+4	37	+1	248	432	17	9,280	479	1,673	21,653	Europe
Diamond Princess	712		13		644	55	7
Lebanon	677	+4	21		103	553	27	99	3	20,929	3,066	Asia
Costa Rica	662	+2	6	+1	124	532	8	130	1	10,879	2,136	North America
Niger	648		20		117	511		27	0.8	4,715	195	Africa
Nigeria	627		21		170	436	2	3	0.1	7,153	35	Africa
Albania	584	+22	26		327	231	5	203	9	5,775	2,007	Europe
Burkina Faso	581	+5	38	+2	357	186		28	2			Africa
Guinea	579		5		87	487		44	0.4			Africa
Kyrgyzstan	568	+14	7	+2	201	360	5	87	1	26,147	4,008	Asia
Bolivia	564	+44	33	+1	31	500	3	48	3	3,569	306	South America
Uruguay	528	+11	10		298	220	13	152	3	13,207	3,802	South America
Channel Islands	488		24	+3	73	391		2,807	138	3,320	19,095	Europe
Honduras	477	+5	46		25	406	10	48	5	2,535	256	North America
San Marino	462	+1	39		61	362	4	13,616	1,149	1,726	50,868	Europe
Palestine	449	+10	3		71	375		88	0.6	17,329	3,397	Asia
Malta	431	+4	3		126	302	2	976	7	24,919	56,436	Europe
Jordan	425	+8	7		282	136	5	42	0.7	29,000	2,842	Asia
Taiwan	422	+2	6		203	213		18	0.3	53,632	2,252	Asia
Réunion	408				237	171	4	456				Africa
Georgia	402	+8	4		95	303	6	101	1	7,611	1,908	Asia
Senegal	377	+10	5	+2	235	137	1	23	0.3			Africa
DRC	332	+5	25		27	280		4	0.3			Africa
Mauritius	328		9		224	95	3	258	7	9,755	7,670	Africa
Montenegro	312	+4	5		88	219	7	497	8	3,874	6,168	Europe
Sri Lanka	304	+33	7		98	199	1	14	0.3	6,463	302	Asia
Isle of Man	300	+2	9	+3	200	91	15	3,528	106	2,509	29,506	Europe
Guatemala	289	+32	7		21	261	3	16	0.4	7,200	402	North America
Kenya	281	+11	14		69	198	2	5	0.3	13,872	258	Africa
Mayotte	271		4		117	150	5	993	15	1,850	6,781	Africa
Vietnam	268				214	54	8	3		206,253	2,119	Asia
Venezuela	256		9		117	130	4	9	0.3	336,169	11,822	South America
Tanzania	254	+84	10	+3	11	233	4	4	0.2			Africa
Mali	224		14		42	168		11	0.7			Africa
El Salvador	218	+17	7		46	165	2	34	1	12,210	1,882	North America
Paraguay	208	+2	8		46	154	1	29	1	4,950	694	South America
Jamaica	196	+23	5		27	164		66	2	1,809	611	North America
Faeroe Islands	185				176	9		3,786		6,021	123,222	Europe
Somalia	164		7		3	154	2	10	0.4			Africa
Martinique	163		12		73	78	11	434	32			North America
Congo	160	+17	6		16	138		29	1			Africa
Guadeloupe	148		8		73	67	13	370	20			North America
Rwanda	147				76	71		11		6,959	537	Africa
Brunei	138		1		116	21	2	315	2	11,633	26,591	Asia
Gibraltar	132				120	12	1	3,918		1,912	56,751	Europe
Cambodia	122				107	15	1	7		5,768	345	Asia
Madagascar	121				41	80	1	4		2,357	85	Africa
Myanmar	117	+6	5		7	105		2	0.09	4,786	88	Asia
Trinidad and Tobago	114		8		21	85		81	6	1,335	954	North America
Ethiopia	111	+3	3		16	92	1	1.0	0.03	7,953	69	Africa
Gabon	109		1		7	101		49	0.4	572	257	Africa
Liberia	99	+8	8		7	84		20	2			Africa
Aruba	97		2		49	46	4	909	19	1,442	13,506	North America
French Guiana	97	+1	1	+1	69	27	2	325	3			South America
Monaco	94		3		22	69	3	2,395	76			Europe
Sudan	92	+26	12	+2	8	72		2	0.3			Africa
Bermuda	86		5		35	46	10	1,381	80	638	10,244	North America
Togo	84		6	+1	53	25		10	0.7	4,381	529	Africa
Liechtenstein	81		1		55	25		2,124	26	900	23,605	Europe
Equatorial Guinea	79				7	72		56		854	609	Africa
Barbados	75		5		19	51	4	261	17	1,035	3,602	North America
Maldives	69	+17			16	53	1	128		4,139	7,657	Asia
Sint Maarten	67		10		12	45	6	1,563	233	163	3,802	North America
Cabo Verde	67	+6	1		1	65		121	2			Africa
Guyana	65		7		9	49	4	83	9	322	409	South America
Zambia	65	+4	3		35	27	1	4	0.2	2,586	141	Africa
Cayman Islands	61		1		7	53	3	928	15	702	10,681	North America
Bahamas	60		9		11	40	1	153	23			North America
French Polynesia	55				2	53	1	196		1,302	4,635	Australia/Oceania
Uganda	55				38	17		1		12,565	275	Africa
Benin	54	+19	1		27	26		4	0.08			Africa
Libya	51		1		11	39		7	0.1	725	106	Africa
Guinea-Bissau	50				3	47		25		1,500	762	Africa
Haiti	47		3			44		4	0.3	498	44	North America
Macao	45				22	23	1	69				Asia
Sierra Leone	43	+8			6	37		5				Africa
Syria	39		3		5	31		2	0.2			Asia
Eritrea	39				3	36		11				Africa
Mozambique	39				8	31		1		1,037	33	Africa
Saint Martin	37		2		19	16	5	957	52			North America
Chad	33				8	25		2				Africa
Mongolia	33	+1			7	26		10		1,554	474	Asia
Nepal	31				4	27		1		29,567	1,015	Asia
Zimbabwe	25		3		2	20		2	0.2	2,851	192	Africa
Angola	24		2		6	16		0.7	0.06			Africa
Eswatini	24	+2	1		8	15		21	0.9	714	615	Africa
Antigua and Barbuda	23		3		3	17	1	235	31	73	745	North America
Timor-Leste	22	+3			1	21		17				Asia
Botswana	20		1			19		9	0.4	4,432	1,885	Africa
Laos	19				2	17		3		1,349	185	Asia
Belize	18		2		2	14	1	45	5	651	1,637	North America
Fiji	18	+1			3	15		20				Australia/Oceania
New Caledonia	18				15	3	1	63		3,399	11,906	Australia/Oceania
Malawi	17		2		3	12	1	0.9	0.1	429	22	Africa
Dominica	16				8	8		222		345	4,793	North America
Namibia	16				6	10		6		524	206	Africa
Saint Kitts and Nevis	15	+1				15		282		247	4,643	North America
Saint Lucia	15				13	2		82		344	1,873	North America
Curaçao	14		1		11	2		85	6	286	1,743	North America
Grenada	14				6	8	4	124		92	818	North America
CAR	12				4	8		2				Africa
St. Vincent Grenadines	12				1	11		108		87	784	North America
Turks and Caicos	11		1			10		284	26	83	2,144	North America
Falkland Islands	11				3	8		3,161		319	91,667	South America
Greenland	11				11	0		194		1,043	18,372	North America
Montserrat	11				2	9	1	2,204		36	7,212	North America
Seychelles	11				5	6		112				Africa
Nicaragua	10		2		6	2		2	0.3			North America
Gambia	10		1		2	7		4	0.4	316	131	Africa
Suriname	10		1		6	3		17	2			South America
MS Zaandam	9		2			7
Vatican City	8				2	6		9,988				Europe
Mauritania	7		1		6	0		2	0.2	913	196	Africa
Papua New Guinea	7					7		0.8		167	19	Australia/Oceania
St. Barth	6				5	1		607				North America
Western Sahara	6					6		10				Africa
British Virgin Islands	5	+1	1		3	1		165	33			North America
Burundi	5		1		4	0		0.4	0.08	80	7	Africa
Bhutan	5				2	3		6		8,570	11,107	Asia
Caribbean Netherlands	5					5		191		110	4,195	North America
Sao Tome and Principe	4					4		18		19	87	Africa
South Sudan	4					4		0.4				Africa
Anguilla	3				1	2		200				North America
Saint Pierre Miquelon	1					1		173				North America
Yemen	1					1		0.03				Asia
Total:	844,849	+24,766	44,957	+1,620	88,094	711,798	14,720					North America
Total:	1,112,592	+23,336	104,335	+2,499	321,520	686,737	26,126					Europe
Total:	394,771	+11,614	15,072	+286	185,776	193,923	6,310					Asia
Total:	86,013	+3,761	4,320	+471	36,951	44,742	9,053					South America
Total:	8,157	+17	83		5,252	2,822	53					Australia/Oceania
Total:	23,790	+824	1,161	+36	6,352	16,277	175					Africa
Total:	721		15		644	62	7
Total:	2,470,893	+64,318	169,943	+4,912	644,589	1,656,361	56,444	317.0	21.8			All

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